Bangladesh v Pakistan: Tigers can manage one final kill

Bang at it

Bangladesh may have been somewhat too Tiger-ish. After gorging on large game – South Africa – in their very first outing, their bellies were complete. Sure, they were not satisfied and although they swatted a paw today and then against the last four, they did not have the nous to take down the other scalp.

Against Pakistan that they won’t think victory would be regarded as a jolt. It is the norm. Bangladesh have won the previous four and although it could be easy to worry whether they will be straining every sinew, one just needs to have a basic understanding of the history of the two teams to reckon they will be’at it’.

There are no shortage of gun players. Shakib-al-Hasan, the participant of the championship, Tamim Iqbal, Mushfiqur Rahman, Mustafizur Rahman and Mohammad Saifuddin have enhanced their reputations.

Saifuddin, who has been superb with the ball, boshed an unbeaten 51 from India in a gutsy Bangladesh show on Tuesday. The balance of the XI was eye catching with Mashrafe Mortaza batting at No 9.

Pakistan unfortunate
Pakistan may well feel aggrieved they haven’t made it into the semi-finals. They conquer England, who look to be running into form at precisely the right time, and New Zealand, who have pipped them on net run rate. Their washed-out clash against South Africa probably robbed them of greatest points, too.

Given New Zealand’s pathetic efforts when they’ve come up against teams of notice, it is not unfair to wish it was the guys in green that had been advancing. Sure, they are sometimes chaotic but that is precisely why you would want them . Who knows what they might have pulled out of the hat?

The recall of Shaheen Afridi is an example. Maybe if he had been playing from ball one they wouldn’t have missed out. Afridi has taken ten wickets in four games.Lord’s wicket Somewhat tricky
Here are the previous 17 first-innings scores at Lord (1/2 denotes game obtained by side batting first or second): 243-1/285-1/322-1/308-1/153-2/328-1/251-1/309-1/300-1/227-2/220-2/272-2/280-1/246-2/265-1/277-1/235-2. As you can see there is a trend – that the side batting first is going to have to post 280. Australia razed New Zealand with a diminished 243 but it’s pretty much par for the course the New Zealanders panic when they are going to beat their old rivals. The 285 by Australia against England was instructive. At the break it seemed somewhat mild but the wicket doesn’t play true and can hold up.

Cost about Tigers
After Pakistan beat New Zealand an old friend on Twitter asked: how do you call what Pakistan can perform?

It is pretty easy: not bet them when they’re odds on. So we will be providing them a wide berth at no greater than 1.57. The 2.66 about Bangladesh is disrespectful given their head-to-head advantage.

That wobble against Afghanistan from Pakistan tips at complacency if Pakistan reckon things are going to be simple. Fingers crossed that they are either smarting about the exit, checking flight times or believing they are superior.

Imam worth another follow
Shakib is, unsurprisingly, the hot favourite at 5/2 using Sportsbook for top Bangladesh honours. On two-year data he should not be as short but it is difficult to take him . We have a soft spot for Mushfiqur in 4s. For Pakistan, Imam-ul-Haq’s price is down and up. Against Afghanistan he was rated as 11/4 jolly. Following that failure he is now out high 9/2 having been consistent at 7/2. He’s got a win rate on the market on shape. For top Pakistan bowler, Afridi gave us a wonderful winner in that game. With a 31% gain rate if you can get 5/2 or better it is a bet.

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